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OverOverOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 53.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 75%
Total Value
$2.63
Combined PnL
-$106.43
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares285
Combined PnL-$107.43
Under1 trader
Total Value$2.63
Total Shares3
Combined PnL+$1
Over — 80%Under — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100 | Overavg 38¢ | $76 | — | -$76 | 50% 3954-3949 (7903) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Overavg 37¢ | $25.81 | — | -$25.81 | 50% 2685-2651 (5336) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 36¢ | $5.63 | — | -$5.63 | 47% 3551-3935 (7486) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Underavg 62¢ | $1.63 | $2.63 | +$1 | 50% 1827-1860 (3687) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $2.8K | — | +$0 | 65% 140-74 (214) |
65
6512395314597884CTR<$100Invested
$76
Value
—
PnL
-$76
Record
50%
3954-3949 (7903)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$25.81
Value
—
PnL
-$25.81
Record
50%
2685-2651 (5336)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$5.63
Value
—
PnL
-$5.63
Record
47%
3551-3935 (7486)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$1.63
Value
$2.63
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
1827-1860 (3687)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$2,806
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
140-74 (214)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe7b80c5f...c2cec4
Slug
cfb-wash-mst-2026-11-14-total-53pt5