Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Wake Forest vs. SMU: O/U 57.5
Resolved Under. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Over 71%
$109.58
-$342.92
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian<$100 | Underavg 43Β’ | $24.11 | $56.07 | +$31.96 | 37% 1035-1784 (2819) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Underavg 43Β’ | $23.01 | $53.51 | +$30.5 | 38% 1060-1756 (2816) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 33Β’ | $165 | β | -$165 | 48% 3273-3600 (6873) |
SL SlickRick123CTR | Overavg 30Β’ | $135.79 | β | -$135.79 | 35% 394-728 (1122) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 33.3Β’ | $39 | β | -$39 | 50% 1601-1625 (3226) |
DA darkumbreon88CTR<$100 | Overavg 57Β’ | $62.46 | β | -$62.46 | 61% 1048-661 (1709) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 5Β’ | $3.13 | β | -$3.13 | 37% 1116-1869 (2985) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50Β’ | $800 | β | +$0 | 69% 134-60 (194) |
Invested
$24.11
Value
$56.07
PnL
+$31.96
Record
37%
1035-1784 (2819)
Invested
$23.01
Value
$53.51
PnL
+$30.5
Record
38%
1060-1756 (2816)
Invested
$165
Value
β
PnL
-$165
Record
48%
3273-3600 (6873)
Invested
$135.79
Value
β
PnL
-$135.79
Record
35%
394-728 (1122)
Invested
$39
Value
β
PnL
-$39
Record
50%
1601-1625 (3226)
Invested
$62.46
Value
β
PnL
-$62.46
Record
61%
1048-661 (1709)
Invested
$3.13
Value
β
PnL
-$3.13
Record
37%
1116-1869 (2985)
Invested
$800
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
134-60 (194)