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Wake ForestWake ForestWake ForestSMUSMUSMUSMU
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was SMU — but Wake Forest won instead.
Spread: Wake Forest (-3.5)
Resolved Wake Forest. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held SMU. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
SMU 50%
Total Value
$486.74
Combined PnL
$143.99
Smart Money Signal
SMU
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Wake Forest100%
SMU0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Wake Forest3 traders
Total Value$486.74
Total Shares487
Combined PnL+$289.75
SMU4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares235
Combined PnL-$145.77
Wake Forest — 43%SMU — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTime | Wake Forestavg 39¢ | $77.83 | $199.56 | +$121.73 | 38% 1060-1756 (2816) |
65 6512395314597884 | Wake Forestavg 43¢ | $76.97 | $179 | +$102.03 | 50% 3807-3776 (7583) |
VE Venusian | Wake Forestavg 39¢ | $42.19 | $108.18 | +$65.99 | 37% 1035-1784 (2819) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | SMUavg 61¢ | $47.23 | — | -$12.23 | 50% 1601-1625 (3226) |
38 38791873984189CTR | SMUavg 61¢ | $133.07 | — | -$115.07 | 48% 3273-3600 (6873) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | SMUavg 48¢ | $18.46 | — | -$18.46 | 37% 1116-1869 (2985) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | SMUavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 69% 134-60 (194) |
MA
MadridTimeInvested
$77.83
Value
$199.56
PnL
+$121.73
Record
38%
1060-1756 (2816)
65
6512395314597884Invested
$76.97
Value
$179
PnL
+$102.03
Record
50%
3807-3776 (7583)
VE
VenusianInvested
$42.19
Value
$108.18
PnL
+$65.99
Record
37%
1035-1784 (2819)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$47.23
Value
—
PnL
-$12.23
Record
50%
1601-1625 (3226)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$133.07
Value
—
PnL
-$115.07
Record
48%
3273-3600 (6873)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$18.46
Value
—
PnL
-$18.46
Record
37%
1116-1869 (2985)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
134-60 (194)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x692c112e...a4e291
Slug
cfb-wake-smu-2026-11-14-spread-away-3pt5