Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was SMU β but Wake Forest won instead.

Spread: Wake Forest (-17.5)
Resolved Wake Forest. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held SMU. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
SMU 57%
$2.6K
-$37.81
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PR primm | Wake Forestavg 49Β’ | $1.2K | $2.5K | +$1.3K | 59% 932-653 (1585) |
![]() RN1CTR | SMUavg 52Β’ | $799.95 | β | -$799.95 | 55% 5455-4439 (9894) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | SMUavg 47.5Β’ | $292.82 | β | -$292.82 | 50% 3807-3776 (7583) |
38 38791873984189CTR | SMUavg 51.7Β’ | $239.06 | β | -$239.06 | 48% 3273-3600 (6873) |
AM AmericaFirst1<$100 | Wake Forestavg 50Β’ | $42.01 | $83.95 | +$41.94 | 47% 100-111 (211) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Wake Forestavg 80Β’ | $28 | $35 | +$7 | 47% 540-597 (1137) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | SMUavg 36.4Β’ | $31 | β | -$31 | 50% 1601-1625 (3226) |
Invested
$1,227.92
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
59%
932-653 (1585)
RN1CTRInvested
$799.95
Value
β
PnL
-$799.95
Record
55%
5455-4439 (9894)
Invested
$292.82
Value
β
PnL
-$292.82
Record
50%
3807-3776 (7583)
Invested
$239.06
Value
β
PnL
-$239.06
Record
48%
3273-3600 (6873)
Invested
$42.01
Value
$83.95
PnL
+$41.94
Record
47%
100-111 (211)
Invested
$28
Value
$35
PnL
+$7
Record
47%
540-597 (1137)
Invested
$31
Value
β
PnL
-$31
Record
50%
1601-1625 (3226)