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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Merrimack — but Wagner won instead.
Spread: Merrimack (-14.5)
Resolved Wagner. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Merrimack. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Merrimack 60%
Total Value
$53.96
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Merrimack
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Merrimack0%
Wagner100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0be3d317...b354ea
Slug
cfb-wag-merri-2026-10-31-spread-home-14pt5