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UNLV
nigiri99CTRNew MexicoNew MexicoUNLVUNLVUNLVNew Mexico
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was New Mexico — but UNLV won instead.
Spread: New Mexico (-6.5)
Resolved UNLV. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held New Mexico. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
New Mexico 33%
Total Value
$2.1K
Combined PnL
-$342.88
Smart Money Signal
New Mexico
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
New Mexico0%
UNLV100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
UNLV4 traders
Total Value$2.1K
Total Shares2,143
Combined PnL+$1.7K
New Mexico3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,548
Combined PnL$-2.1K
UNLV — 57%New Mexico — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | UNLVavg 19¢ | $381.3 | $2.0K | +$1.6K | 48% 3662-4031 (7693) |
nigiri99CTR | New Mexicoavg 81¢ | $1.7K | — | $-1.7K | 50% 663-658 (1321) |
PU purplegattoCTR | New Mexicoavg 83.9¢ | $327.34 | — | -$327.34 | 68% 2661-1247 (3908) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | UNLVavg 19¢ | $20.6 | $90 | +$69.4 | 50% 1931-1953 (3884) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | UNLVavg 18.3¢ | $5.54 | $30.24 | +$24.7 | 53% 2122-1900 (4022) |
FO Forecastication2<$100 | UNLVavg 20¢ | $3.2 | $16 | +$12.8 | 45% 298-371 (669) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | New Mexicoavg 50¢ | $280 | — | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
38
38791873984189Invested
$381.3
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$1.6K
Record
48%
3662-4031 (7693)
nigiri99CTRInvested
$1,747.98
Value
—
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
50%
663-658 (1321)
PU
purplegattoCTRInvested
$327.34
Value
—
PnL
-$327.34
Record
68%
2661-1247 (3908)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$20.6
Value
$90
PnL
+$69.4
Record
50%
1931-1953 (3884)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
$5.54
Value
$30.24
PnL
+$24.7
Record
53%
2122-1900 (4022)
FO
Forecastication2<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
$16
PnL
+$12.8
Record
45%
298-371 (669)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$280
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x989d0c04...a6c222
Slug
cfb-unlv-nmx-2026-11-14-spread-home-6pt5