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RN1CTRNew MexicoUNLVNew MexicoNew MexicoNew Mexico
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was New Mexico — but UNLV won instead.
Spread: New Mexico (-10.5)
Resolved UNLV. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held New Mexico. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
New Mexico 75%
Total Value
$1.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
New Mexico
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
New Mexico0%
UNLV100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
New Mexico4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,007
Combined PnL-$684.76
UNLV1 trader
Total Value$1.0K
Total Shares1,007
Combined PnL+$684.76
New Mexico — 80%UNLV — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR | New Mexicoavg 68¢ | $553.52 | — | -$553.52 | 54% 5793-4838 (10631) |
PR primm | UNLVavg 32¢ | $322.24 | $1.0K | +$684.76 | 59% 1075-754 (1829) |
38 38791873984189CTR | New Mexicoavg 68¢ | $104.04 | — | -$104.04 | 48% 3662-4031 (7693) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | New Mexicoavg 68¢ | $27.2 | — | -$27.2 | 50% 1931-1953 (3884) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | New Mexicoavg 50¢ | $600 | — | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
RN1CTRInvested
$553.52
Value
—
PnL
-$553.52
Record
54%
5793-4838 (10631)
PR
primmInvested
$322.24
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$684.76
Record
59%
1075-754 (1829)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$104.04
Value
—
PnL
-$104.04
Record
48%
3662-4031 (7693)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$27.2
Value
—
PnL
-$27.2
Record
50%
1931-1953 (3884)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$600
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x367eddd8...fbe440
Slug
cfb-unlv-nmx-2026-11-14-spread-home-10pt5