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VeryLucky888CTR<$100Under
RollAwayTheDewOverUnderOverOver Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

UAB vs. South Florida: O/U 39.5
Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 67%
Total Value
$100
Combined PnL
-$14.15
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares188
Combined PnL-$68.65
Over3 traders
Total Value$100
Total Shares100
Combined PnL+$54.5
Under β 40%Over β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 42Β’ | $66.43 | β | -$66.43 | 58% 42027-30514 (72541) |
![]() RollAwayTheDew | Overavg 57Β’ | $45.5 | $100 | +$54.5 | 53% 404-355 (759) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 37Β’ | $2.22 | β | -$2.22 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | Overavg 58Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 17179-14402 (31581) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Overavg 63Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 53% 10788-9397 (20185) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$66.43
Value
β
PnL
-$66.43
Record
58%
42027-30514 (72541)
RollAwayTheDewInvested
$45.5
Value
$100
PnL
+$54.5
Record
53%
404-355 (759)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$2.22
Value
β
PnL
-$2.22
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
HO
HomeRunHazard<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
17179-14402 (31581)
JU
justaluckydude<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
10788-9397 (20185)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1a6b66a7...fac61b
Slug
cfb-uab-sfl-2026-10-31-total-39pt5