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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Boise State — but Texas State won instead.
Spread: Boise State (-16.5)
Resolved Texas State. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Boise State. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Boise State 50%
Total Value
$2.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Boise State
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Boise State0%
Texas State100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1fc20cea...769438
Slug
cfb-txst-boise-2026-10-31-spread-home-16pt5