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Texas A&MSouth CarolinaTexas A&MTexas A&M
VeryLucky888<$100South Carolina
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Texas A&M — but South Carolina won instead.
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
Resolved South Carolina. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Texas A&M. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
3
Texas A&M 100%
2 arb excluded
Total Value
$777.47
Combined PnL
-$75.09
Smart Money Signal
Texas A&M
2 of 3 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
South Carolina100%
Texas A&M0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Texas A&M2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares140
Combined PnL-$75.09
South Carolina1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Texas A&M — 67%South Carolina — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Texas A&Mavg 54.9¢ | $630.81 | $257.31 | -$199.5 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
| └ Texas A&M leg | Texas A&Mavg 54.9¢ | $345.5 | — | -$354.03 | |
| └ South Carolina leg | South Carolinaavg 44¢ | $113.22 | $257.31 | +$154.53 | |
NM NM-PARB<$100 | South Carolinaavg 44¢ | $421.37 | $520.16 | +$102.29 | 64% 10183-5729 (15912) |
| └ South Carolina leg | South Carolinaavg 44¢ | $228.87 | $520.16 | +$291.29 | |
| └ Texas A&M leg | Texas A&Mavg 55¢ | $192.5 | — | -$189 | |
0X 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0beCTR<$100 | Texas A&Mavg 56.7¢ | $59.73 | — | -$75.09 | 49% 386-403 (789) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Texas A&Mavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 21689-15792 (37481) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | South Carolinaavg 44¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 47904-34520 (82424) |
38
38791873984189ARB<$100Invested
$630.81
Value
$257.31
PnL
-$199.5
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Both legs:
Texas A&M$345.554.9¢-$354.03
South Carolina$113.2244¢+$154.53
NM
NM-PARB<$100Invested
$421.37
Value
$520.16
PnL
+$102.29
Record
64%
10183-5729 (15912)
Both legs:
South Carolina$228.8744¢+$291.29
Texas A&M$192.555¢-$189
0X
0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0beCTR<$100Invested
$59.73
Value
—
PnL
-$75.09
Record
49%
386-403 (789)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
21689-15792 (37481)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
47904-34520 (82424)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc2ff0304...30b52c
Slug
cfb-txam-sc-2026-11-07-spread-home-7pt5