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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Troy vs. South Alabama: O/U 45.5

Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Over 44%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$63.62

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under5 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,211

Combined PnL+$738.44

Over5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,102

Combined PnL-$674.82

Under — 50%Over — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Underavg 35.2¢	$293.75	$835	+$541.25	55% 5758-4807 (10565)
65 6512395314597884	Underavg 35¢	$72.58	$207.58	+$135	50% 3962-3959 (7921)
GA Gaditima	Underavg 92¢	$92.01	$100	+$7.99	49% 333-346 (679)
38 38791873984189<$100	Underavg 35¢	$17.5	$50	+$32.5	47% 3580-3963 (7543)
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100	Overavg 7¢	$14.08	—	+$16.92	37% 459-785 (1244)
PA Pan9X<$100	Underavg 35¢	$16.3	$18	+$21.7	50% 1850-1880 (3730)
PR primmCTR	Overavg 65¢	$690.95	—	-$690.95	59% 1050-730 (1780)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Overavg 8¢	$0.69	—	-$0.69	38% 1351-2180 (3531)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Overavg 7¢	$0.09	—	-$0.09	46% 884-1056 (1940)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Overavg 50¢	$2.9K	—	+$0	66% 141-74 (215)

Invested

$293.75

Value

$835

PnL

+$541.25

Record

55%

5758-4807 (10565)

6512395314597884

Invested

$72.58

Value

$207.58

PnL

+$135

Record

50%

3962-3959 (7921)

Invested

$92.01

Value

$100

PnL

+$7.99

Record

49%

333-346 (679)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$17.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$32.5

Record

47%

3580-3963 (7543)

SlickRick123CTR<$100

Invested

$14.08

Value

—

PnL

+$16.92

Record

37%

459-785 (1244)

Invested

$16.3

Value

$18

PnL

+$21.7

Record

50%

1850-1880 (3730)

Invested

$690.95

Value

—

PnL

-$690.95

Record

59%

1050-730 (1780)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$0.69

Value

—

PnL

-$0.69

Record

38%

1351-2180 (3531)

Invested

$0.09

Value

—

PnL

-$0.09

Record

46%

884-1056 (1940)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$2,866

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

141-74 (215)

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfea85333...b6d745

Slug

cfb-troy-sala-2026-11-14-total-45pt5

Traders in this Market

RN1

Under — $835

6512395314597884

Under — $207.58

Gaditima

Under — $100

38791873984189

Under — $50

SlickRick123

Over — $0

Pan9X

Under — $18

primm

Over — $0

topdogbigboi

Over — $0

lryyy

Over — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Over — $0

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