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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Troy — but South Alabama won instead.

Spread: South Alabama (-10.5)

Resolved South Alabama. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Troy. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Troy 38%

Total Value

$11.4K

Combined PnL

$558.21

Smart Money Signal

Troy

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

South Alabama100%

Troy0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

South Alabama6 traders

Total Value$11.4K

Total Shares11,407

Combined PnL+$7.0K

Troy3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares10,493

Combined PnL$-6.4K

South Alabama — 67%Troy — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BI biying88888	South Alabamaavg 39¢	$3.7K	$9.6K	+$5.9K	44% 225-292 (517)
RN1	South Alabamaavg 38.2¢	$568.52	$1.5K	+$920.75	55% 5758-4807 (10565)
PR primmCTR	Troyavg 61¢	$5.9K	—	$-5.9K	59% 1050-730 (1780)
PA Pan9X	South Alabamaavg 38.5¢	$73.4	$190.71	+$117.31	50% 1850-1880 (3730)
TO topdogbigboi	South Alabamaavg 45.8¢	$48.85	$106.72	+$57.87	38% 1351-2180 (3531)
CI cigarettes<$100	South Alabamaavg 74¢	$9.49	$12.82	+$3.33	53% 7331-6407 (13738)
VI vibing123CTR	Troyavg 62¢	$513.48	—	-$513.48	62% 1161-712 (1873)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Troyavg 50¢	$35	—	-$35	40% 652-976 (1628)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	South Alabamaavg 50¢	$200	—	+$0	66% 141-74 (215)

Invested

$3,746.73

Value

$9.6K

PnL

+$5.9K

Record

44%

225-292 (517)

Invested

$568.52

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$920.75

Record

55%

5758-4807 (10565)

Invested

$5,852.84

Value

—

PnL

$-5.9K

Record

59%

1050-730 (1780)

Invested

$73.4

Value

$190.71

PnL

+$117.31

Record

50%

1850-1880 (3730)

Invested

$48.85

Value

$106.72

PnL

+$57.87

Record

38%

1351-2180 (3531)

cigarettes<$100

Invested

$9.49

Value

$12.82

PnL

+$3.33

Record

53%

7331-6407 (13738)

Invested

$513.48

Value

—

PnL

-$513.48

Record

62%

1161-712 (1873)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Invested

$35

Value

—

PnL

-$35

Record

40%

652-976 (1628)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$200

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

141-74 (215)

Smart Money Signal

Troy

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6e5c2e6d...c7ade6

Slug

cfb-troy-sala-2026-11-14-spread-home-10pt5

Traders in this Market

biying88888

South Alabama — $9.6K

RN1

South Alabama — $1.5K

primm

Troy — $0

Pan9X

South Alabama — $190.71

topdogbigboi

South Alabama — $106.72

cigarettes

South Alabama — $12.82

vibing123

Troy — $0

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Troy — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

South Alabama — $0

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