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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was James Madison — but Troy won instead.
Spread: James Madison (-2.5)
Resolved Troy. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held James Madison. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
James Madison 57%
Total Value
$370.35
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
James Madison
4 of 7 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
James Madison0%
Troy100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb8ba7f1e...ec2a3d
Slug
cfb-troy-jmad-2026-10-29-spread-home-2pt5