Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 47.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 57%
$4.7K
-$256.9
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1CTR | Underavg 68.4Β’ | $2.4K | β | $-2.4K | 55% 5404-4376 (9780) |
PR primm | Overavg 25.5Β’ | $1.0K | $4.1K | +$3.0K | 59% 931-653 (1584) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | Underavg 69.5Β’ | $701.35 | β | -$701.35 | 50% 3807-3775 (7582) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Underavg 75.1Β’ | $481.38 | β | -$481.38 | 48% 3239-3552 (6791) |
CM cm2897 | Overavg 40Β’ | $189.2 | $473 | +$283.8 | 49% 1168-1203 (2371) |
AM AmericaFirst1 | Overavg 26.7Β’ | $31.78 | $119.16 | +$87.38 | 47% 99-111 (210) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Underavg 60.5Β’ | $42.95 | β | -$42.95 | 50% 1594-1620 (3214) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50Β’ | $200 | β | +$0 | 69% 133-60 (193) |
RN1CTRInvested
$2,446.53
Value
β
PnL
$-2.4K
Record
55%
5404-4376 (9780)
Invested
$1,043.05
Value
$4.1K
PnL
+$3.0K
Record
59%
931-653 (1584)
Invested
$701.35
Value
β
PnL
-$701.35
Record
50%
3807-3775 (7582)
Invested
$481.38
Value
β
PnL
-$481.38
Record
48%
3239-3552 (6791)
Invested
$189.2
Value
$473
PnL
+$283.8
Record
49%
1168-1203 (2371)
Invested
$31.78
Value
$119.16
PnL
+$87.38
Record
47%
99-111 (210)
Invested
$42.95
Value
β
PnL
-$42.95
Record
50%
1594-1620 (3214)
Invested
$200
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
133-60 (193)