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StanfordLouisvilleLouisvilleLouisville
VeryLucky888<$100Louisville
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Stanford — but Louisville won instead.
Spread: Louisville (-22.5)
Resolved Louisville. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Stanford. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Stanford 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$5.4
Smart Money Signal
Stanford
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Louisville100%
Stanford0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Stanford1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$5.4
Louisville4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Stanford — 20%Louisville — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Stanfordavg 50¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 50% 7049-7061 (14110) |
BO BoggsFromShawshank<$100 | Louisvilleavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 1094-1053 (2147) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Louisvilleavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13944-10725 (24669) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Louisvilleavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 28900-21323 (50223) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Louisvilleavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 42202-30652 (72854) |
FO
Forecastication2CTR<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
50%
7049-7061 (14110)
BO
BoggsFromShawshank<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
1094-1053 (2147)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13944-10725 (24669)
LE
LeLynxMalynx<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
28900-21323 (50223)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
42202-30652 (72854)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2030c5f8...ed8521
Slug
cfb-stan-lou-2026-10-31-spread-home-22pt5