Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Louisville β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Louisville

Spread: Louisville (-20.5)
Resolved Louisville. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Louisville. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Louisville 100%
1 arb excluded
$262.6
$75.83
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Stanfordavg 55.3Β’ | $80.87 | $44.59 | -$36.28 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
| β Stanford leg | Stanfordavg 55.3Β’ | $68.83 | β | -$68.83 | |
| β Louisville leg | Louisvilleavg 27Β’ | $12.04 | $44.59 | +$32.55 | |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Louisvilleavg 56Β’ | $47.6 | $85 | +$30.18 | 58% 28900-21323 (50223) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100 | Louisvilleavg 56.4Β’ | $46.86 | $83.01 | +$36.15 | 54% 3023-2604 (5627) |
FO Forecastication2<$100 | Louisvilleavg 57Β’ | $28.5 | $50 | +$9.5 | 50% 7049-7061 (14110) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | Louisvilleavg 56Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 17200-14430 (31630) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Stanfordavg 61.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 53% 10816-9436 (20252) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Stanfordavg 43Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 13944-10725 (24669) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Stanfordavg 42Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 42202-30652 (72854) |
Invested
$80.87
Value
$44.59
PnL
-$36.28
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
Both legs:
Invested
$47.6
Value
$85
PnL
+$30.18
Record
58%
28900-21323 (50223)
Invested
$46.86
Value
$83.01
PnL
+$36.15
Record
54%
3023-2604 (5627)
Invested
$28.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$9.5
Record
50%
7049-7061 (14110)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
17200-14430 (31630)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
10816-9436 (20252)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13944-10725 (24669)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
42202-30652 (72854)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
topdogbigboi
ARBArbitrage β excluded
LeLynxMalynx
Louisville β $85
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
Louisville β $83.01
Forecastication2
Louisville β $50
HomeRunHazard
Louisville β $0
justaluckydude
CTRStanford β $0
ghorrock
CTRStanford β $0

VeryLucky888
CTRStanford β $0