Southern Miss vs. Louisiana-Monroe

9 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Southern Miss (90%) · Southern Miss at 92¢ · $2K held · ended Oct 31

Southern Miss92¢Louisiana-Monroe8¢Ended Sat, Oct 31, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Southern Miss

Consensus Traders

Southern Miss 90%

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

$235.64

Smart Money Entry

77.8¢ → 92.4¢

+19% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralSouthern Miss at 92%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Southern Miss

9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Southern Miss92%

Louisiana-Monroe8%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Southern Miss9 traders

Total Value$1.9K

Total Shares2,134

Combined PnL+$243.76

Louisiana-Monroe1 trader

Total Value$11.23

Total Shares39

Combined PnL-$8.12

Southern Miss — 90%Louisiana-Monroe — 10%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 88%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

88% of non-arb traders are on Southern Miss. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 88% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleSouthern Miss 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrSouthern Miss 83% · 6

Aligned

Top 1000Southern Miss 88% · 8

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
EN ENDBOSSLLC	Southern Missavg 71¢	$668.82	$843.09	+$174.27	41% 266-384 (650)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Southern Missavg 83.8¢	$629.89	$672.52	+$42.63	59% 30514-21223 (51737)
13 13897651	Southern Missavg 97.8¢	$156.64	$157.04	+$0.4	59% 6966-4892 (11858)
TO torta.tech<$100	Southern Missavg 74.3¢	$78	$93.98	+$15.98	63% 8141-4878 (13019)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100	Southern Missavg 84¢	$46.39	$49.43	+$3.04	52% 13824-12612 (26436)
UP UpTheBlues<$100	Southern Missavg 84¢	$31.08	$35.43	+$4.35	59% 46056-32360 (78416)
0X 0x0A77exmm<$100	Southern Missavg 60¢	$27.11	$32.08	-$0.68	54% 2305-1991 (4296)
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100	Southern Missavg 60¢	$16.8	$19.88	+$3.08	58% 28818-21252 (50070)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Louisiana-Monroeavg 26¢	$19.35	$11.23	-$8.12	49% 8129-8572 (16701)
ET ethanaz<$100	Southern Missavg 64¢	$6.4	$7.1	+$0.7	52% 669-624 (1293)

ENDBOSSLLC

Southern Miss

Invested

$668.82

Value

$843.09

PnL

+$174.27

Record

41%

266-384 (650)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Southern Miss

Invested

$629.89

Value

$672.52

PnL

+$42.63

Record

59%

30514-21223 (51737)

13897651

Southern Miss

Invested

$156.64

Value

$157.04

PnL

+$0.4

Record

59%

6966-4892 (11858)

torta.tech<$100

Southern Miss

Invested

$78

Value

$93.98

PnL

+$15.98

Record

63%

8141-4878 (13019)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100

Southern Miss

Invested

$46.39

Value

$49.43

PnL

+$3.04

Record

52%

13824-12612 (26436)

UpTheBlues<$100

Southern Miss

Invested

$31.08

Value

$35.43

PnL

+$4.35

Record

59%

46056-32360 (78416)

0x0A77exmm<$100

Southern Miss

Invested

$27.11

Value

$32.08

PnL

-$0.68

Record

54%

2305-1991 (4296)

LeLynxMalynx<$100

Southern Miss

Invested

$16.8

Value

$19.88

PnL

+$3.08

Record

58%

28818-21252 (50070)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Louisiana-Monroe

Invested

$19.35

Value

$11.23

PnL

-$8.12

Record

49%

8129-8572 (16701)

ethanaz<$100

Southern Miss

Invested

$6.4

Value

$7.1

PnL

+$0.7

Record

52%

669-624 (1293)

Research grade

NeutralSouthern Miss at 92%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Southern Miss

9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 88%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

88% of non-arb traders are on Southern Miss. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 88% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleSouthern Miss 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrSouthern Miss 83% · 6

Aligned

Top 1000Southern Miss 88% · 8

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Southern Miss wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance93.7%

92.4¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$6.71

Max Loss

-$100.00

106.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.