Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Purdue — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Purdue

Spread: Iowa (-24.5)

Resolved Purdue. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Purdue. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Purdue 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.8K

Combined PnL

$45.27

Purdue

4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Iowa0%

Purdue100%

Iowa4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,584

Combined PnL$-1.1K

Purdue4 traders

Total Value$2.8K

Total Shares2,763

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Iowa — 50%Purdue — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1CTR	Iowaavg 46¢	$791.28	—	-$791.28	54% 5793-4838 (10631)
PR primm	Purdueavg 57¢	$928.85	$1.6K	+$701.15	59% 1075-754 (1829)
CM cm2897	Purdueavg 51¢	$412.08	$808	+$395.92	49% 1214-1258 (2472)
LI LightParadoxCTR	Iowaavg 32¢	$264.26	—	-$264.26	38% 1233-2055 (3288)
38 38791873984189	Purdueavg 64.7¢	$708.82	$306.74	+$45.17	48% 3662-4031 (7693)
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100	Iowaavg 43.1¢	$136.72	$60	-$76.72	50% 3988-3981 (7969)
└ Iowa leg	Iowaavg 43.1¢	$102.52	—	-$102.52
└ Purdue leg	Purdueavg 57¢	$34.2	$60	+$25.8
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100	Iowaavg 43¢	$51.17	—	-$51.17	44% 227-289 (516)
PA Pan9X<$100	Purdueavg 43¢	$23.65	$18	+$9.74	50% 1931-1953 (3884)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Iowaavg 50¢	$990	—	+$0	66% 141-74 (215)