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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Iowa — but Purdue won instead.

Spread: Iowa (-21.5)

Resolved Purdue. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Iowa. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Iowa 63%

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$433.14

Smart Money Signal

Iowa

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Iowa0%

Purdue100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Purdue4 traders

Total Value$1.4K

Total Shares1,425

Combined PnL+$736.36

Iowa5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,234

Combined PnL$-1.2K

Purdue — 44%Iowa — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PR primm	Purdueavg 50¢	$470	$940	+$470	59% 1075-754 (1829)
RN1CTR	Iowaavg 54.2¢	$877.5	—	-$877.5	54% 5793-4838 (10631)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Purdueavg 42¢	$105	$250	+$145	40% 658-980 (1638)
65 6512395314597884	Purdueavg 48.4¢	$113.85	$235.21	+$121.36	50% 3988-3981 (7969)
38 38791873984189CTR	Iowaavg 40.6¢	$130.98	—	-$127.34	48% 3662-4031 (7693)
dips.CTR	Iowaavg 52¢	$104	—	-$104	48% 1176-1281 (2457)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Iowaavg 61.2¢	$56.33	—	-$56.33	50% 1931-1953 (3884)
CM cm2897CTR<$100	Iowaavg 52¢	$4.33	—	-$4.33	49% 1214-1258 (2472)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Purdueavg 50¢	$2.6K	—	+$0	66% 141-74 (215)

Invested

$470

Value

$940

PnL

+$470

Record

59%

1075-754 (1829)

Invested

$877.5

Value

—

PnL

-$877.5

Record

54%

5793-4838 (10631)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Invested

$105

Value

$250

PnL

+$145

Record

40%

658-980 (1638)

6512395314597884

Invested

$113.85

Value

$235.21

PnL

+$121.36

Record

50%

3988-3981 (7969)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$130.98

Value

—

PnL

-$127.34

Record

48%

3662-4031 (7693)

Invested

$104

Value

—

PnL

-$104

Record

48%

1176-1281 (2457)

Invested

$56.33

Value

—

PnL

-$56.33

Record

50%

1931-1953 (3884)

Invested

$4.33

Value

—

PnL

-$4.33

Record

49%

1214-1258 (2472)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$2,600

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

141-74 (215)

Smart Money Signal

Iowa

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0073c077...b9d4ae

Slug

cfb-pur-iowa-2026-11-14-spread-home-21pt5

Traders in this Market

primm

Purdue — $940

RN1

Iowa — $0

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Purdue — $250

6512395314597884

Purdue — $235.21

38791873984189

Iowa — $0

dips.

Iowa — $0

Pan9X

Iowa — $0

cm2897

Iowa — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Purdue — $0

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