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UnderOverOver
VeryLucky888<$100UnderUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 49.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 50%
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
-$242.62
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,515
Combined PnL+$670.88
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,000
Combined PnL-$913.5
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Underavg 56.3¢ | $791.13 | $1.4K | +$615.2 | 47% 3383-3741 (7124) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $816 | — | -$816 | 56% 3718-2886 (6604) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100 | Overavg 21¢ | $63.7 | — | -$63.7 | 25% 63-191 (254) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 48.2¢ | $38.25 | $79.43 | +$41.18 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | $14.5 | $29 | +$14.5 | 47% 339-375 (714) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Overavg 52¢ | $33.8 | — | -$33.8 | 53% 310-274 (584) |
38
38791873984189Invested
$791.13
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$615.2
Record
47%
3383-3741 (7124)
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$816
Value
—
PnL
-$816
Record
56%
3718-2886 (6604)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100Invested
$63.7
Value
—
PnL
-$63.7
Record
25%
63-191 (254)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
$79.43
PnL
+$41.18
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)
0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100Invested
$14.5
Value
$29
PnL
+$14.5
Record
47%
339-375 (714)
0X
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100Invested
$33.8
Value
—
PnL
-$33.8
Record
53%
310-274 (584)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x001f61f6...f59e48
Slug
cfb-nmxst-msrst-2026-11-14-total-49pt5