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RN1CTRNew Mexico StateNew Mexico StateNew Mexico StateNew Mexico StateNew Mexico StateNew Mexico State
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was New Mexico State — but Missouri State won instead.
Spread: New Mexico State (-2.5)
Resolved Missouri State. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held New Mexico State. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
New Mexico State 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
New Mexico State
6 of 6 top traders (100%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
New Mexico State0%
Missouri State100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
New Mexico State6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,405
Combined PnL$-1.9K
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR | New Mexico Stateavg 54.3¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | New Mexico Stateavg 57.3¢ | $344 | — | -$344 | 50% 3874-3873 (7747) |
38 38791873984189CTR | New Mexico Stateavg 55¢ | $284.9 | — | -$284.9 | 47% 3383-3741 (7124) |
PA Pan9XCTR | New Mexico Stateavg 55.5¢ | $123.84 | — | -$123.84 | 49% 1694-1746 (3440) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | New Mexico Stateavg 53¢ | $54.03 | — | -$54.03 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
NO NotJumpCTR<$100 | New Mexico Stateavg 54¢ | $27 | — | -$27 | 51% 917-874 (1791) |
RN1CTRInvested
$1,038.46
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
65
6512395314597884CTRInvested
$344
Value
—
PnL
-$344
Record
50%
3874-3873 (7747)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$284.9
Value
—
PnL
-$284.9
Record
47%
3383-3741 (7124)
PA
Pan9XCTRInvested
$123.84
Value
—
PnL
-$123.84
Record
49%
1694-1746 (3440)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$54.03
Value
—
PnL
-$54.03
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
NO
NotJumpCTR<$100Invested
$27
Value
—
PnL
-$27
Record
51%
917-874 (1791)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x097d5243...bc9df7
Slug
cfb-nmxst-msrst-2026-11-14-spread-away-2pt5