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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 39.5
Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Over 63%
Total Value
$201.49
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 8 top traders (63%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0f3c2c0d...6325b8
Slug
cfb-nmx-nevada-2026-11-06-total-39pt5