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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Nevada — but New Mexico won instead.
Spread: New Mexico (-10.5)
Resolved New Mexico. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Nevada. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
19
Nevada 63%
Total Value
$45.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Nevada
12 of 19 top traders (63%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
New Mexico100%
Nevada0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5b717fa2...358f4f
Slug
cfb-nmx-nevada-2026-11-06-spread-away-10pt5