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South DakotaNorthern IowaNorthern Iowa
RN1CTR<$100Northern IowaSouth Dakota
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was South Dakota — and it was correct. Winning outcome: South Dakota
Northern Iowa vs. South Dakota
Resolved South Dakota. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held South Dakota. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
South Dakota 25%
Total Value
$449
Combined PnL
-$10.93
Smart Money Signal
South Dakota
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Northern Iowa0%
South Dakota100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
South Dakota2 traders
Total Value$449
Total Shares449
Combined PnL+$22.46
Northern Iowa3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares604
Combined PnL-$33.39
South Dakota — 40%Northern Iowa — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 6512395314597884 | South Dakotaavg 95¢ | $426.54 | $449 | +$22.46 | 50% 3828-3802 (7630) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Northern Iowaavg 7¢ | $21 | — | -$21 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Northern Iowaavg 4¢ | $11.96 | — | -$11.96 | 45% 707-867 (1574) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Northern Iowaavg 8¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | South Dakotaavg 50¢ | $626 | — | +$0 | 69% 136-62 (198) |
65
6512395314597884Invested
$426.54
Value
$449
PnL
+$22.46
Record
50%
3828-3802 (7630)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$21
Value
—
PnL
-$21
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
SM
smithagentCTR<$100Invested
$11.96
Value
—
PnL
-$11.96
Record
45%
707-867 (1574)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$626
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
136-62 (198)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x64e2c677...5effac
Slug
cfb-niowa-sdak-2026-11-14