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Over
RN1CTROverOverUnderOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Nevada vs. Northern Illinois: O/U 49.5
Resolved Under. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 83%
Total Value
$600.59
Combined PnL
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,021
Combined PnL$-1.5K
Under1 trader
Total Value$600.59
Total Shares601
Combined PnL+$264.26
Over — 83%Under — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Overavg 51¢ | $562.73 | — | -$562.73 | 50% 2600-2575 (5175) |
RN1CTR | Overavg 52¢ | $419.64 | — | -$419.64 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
VE VenusianCTR | Overavg 44¢ | $264.26 | — | -$264.26 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
38 38791873984189 | Underavg 56¢ | $336.33 | $600.59 | +$264.26 | 47% 3383-3741 (7124) |
LI LimousinCTR | Overavg 45¢ | $225 | — | -$225 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 53¢ | $5.3 | — | -$5.3 | 49% 1694-1746 (3440) |
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTRInvested
$562.73
Value
—
PnL
-$562.73
Record
50%
2600-2575 (5175)
RN1CTRInvested
$419.64
Value
—
PnL
-$419.64
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
VE
VenusianCTRInvested
$264.26
Value
—
PnL
-$264.26
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
38
38791873984189Invested
$336.33
Value
$600.59
PnL
+$264.26
Record
47%
3383-3741 (7124)
LI
LimousinCTRInvested
$225
Value
—
PnL
-$225
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$5.3
Value
—
PnL
-$5.3
Record
49%
1694-1746 (3440)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x175c05ee...e387fb
Slug
cfb-nevada-nill-2026-11-14-total-49pt5