Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 49.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Under 40%
1 arb excluded
$4.6K
$784.95
Smart Money Signal
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100 | Overavg 57Β’ | $2.3K | $1.5K | -$760.21 | 56% 3687-2847 (6534) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 57Β’ | $1.6K | β | $-1.6K | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 43Β’ | $645.75 | $1.5K | +$856 | |
IM imjustkenisghey | Underavg 43Β’ | $1.3K | $3.1K | +$1.7K | 48% 34-37 (71) |
PL pltrkr111CTR | Overavg 57Β’ | $910.58 | β | -$910.58 | 4% 23-537 (560) |
FE ferdinand2CTR | Overavg 57Β’ | $116.18 | β | -$42.18 | 48% 2212-2378 (4590) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Overavg 56.4Β’ | $29.88 | β | -$29.88 | 54% 286-244 (530) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Underavg 44Β’ | $14.52 | $33 | +$18.48 | 37% 1053-1783 (2836) |
Invested
$2,261.96
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$760.21
Record
56%
3687-2847 (6534)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,318.89
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
48%
34-37 (71)
Invested
$910.58
Value
β
PnL
-$910.58
Record
4%
23-537 (560)
Invested
$116.18
Value
β
PnL
-$42.18
Record
48%
2212-2378 (4590)
Invested
$29.88
Value
β
PnL
-$29.88
Record
54%
286-244 (530)
Invested
$14.52
Value
$33
PnL
+$18.48
Record
37%
1053-1783 (2836)