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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Nebraska — but Illinois won instead.
Spread: Illinois (-4.5)
Resolved Illinois. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Nebraska. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Nebraska 63%
Total Value
$1.7K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Nebraska
5 of 8 top traders (63%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Illinois100%
Nebraska0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x09bb1f0e...520662
Slug
cfb-nebr-ill-2026-11-06-spread-home-4pt5