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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Nebraska — but Illinois won instead.
Spread: Nebraska (-3.5)
Resolved Illinois. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Nebraska. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Nebraska 29%
Total Value
$20.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Nebraska
4 of 14 top traders (29%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Nebraska0%
Illinois100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x924c50ff...e24241
Slug
cfb-nebr-ill-2026-11-06-spread-away-3pt5