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UnderOverUnderUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Marist vs. San Diego: O/U 49.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$93.81
Combined PnL
-$206.17
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares519
Combined PnL-$249.32
Over1 trader
Total Value$93.81
Total Shares94
Combined PnL+$43.15
Under β 80%Over β 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OD OddstormCTR | Underavg 47Β’ | $224.09 | β | -$223.71 | 39% 426-672 (1098) |
0X 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be<$100 | Overavg 54Β’ | $93.81 | $93.81 | +$43.15 | 48% 342-364 (706) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 43Β’ | $11.75 | β | -$13.25 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Underavg 46Β’ | $11.04 | β | -$12.36 | 50% 7036-7035 (14071) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 45.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
OD
OddstormCTRInvested
$224.09
Value
β
PnL
-$223.71
Record
39%
426-672 (1098)
0X
0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be<$100Invested
$93.81
Value
$93.81
PnL
+$43.15
Record
48%
342-364 (706)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$11.75
Value
β
PnL
-$13.25
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
FO
Forecastication2CTR<$100Invested
$11.04
Value
β
PnL
-$12.36
Record
50%
7036-7035 (14071)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc664049b...e69ef0
Slug
cfb-mrst-usd-2026-10-31-total-49pt5