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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Under β€” but Over won instead.

Marist vs. San Diego: O/U 49.5

Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Under 75%

Total Value

$93.81

Combined PnL

-$206.17

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares519
Combined PnL-$249.32
Over1 trader
Total Value$93.81
Total Shares94
Combined PnL+$43.15
Under β€” 80%Over β€” 20%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xc664049b...e69ef0
Slug
cfb-mrst-usd-2026-10-31-total-49pt5
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