Back to Markets
UnderUnderOverOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Minnesota vs. Penn State: O/U 39.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 50%
Total Value
$562.62
Combined PnL
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,263
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Over2 traders
Total Value$562.62
Total Shares563
Combined PnL+$236.3
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IM imjustkenisgheyCTR | Underavg 40¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 42% 45-61 (106) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Underavg 42¢ | $236.3 | — | -$236.3 | 38% 1183-1919 (3102) |
GC GC-P | Overavg 58¢ | $203 | $350 | +$147 | 41% 469-682 (1151) |
NM NM-P | Overavg 58¢ | $123.32 | $212.62 | +$89.3 | 59% 3879-2660 (6539) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 65% 140-74 (214) |
IM
imjustkenisgheyCTRInvested
$1,080
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
42%
45-61 (106)
MA
MadridTimeCTRInvested
$236.3
Value
—
PnL
-$236.3
Record
38%
1183-1919 (3102)
GC
GC-PInvested
$203
Value
$350
PnL
+$147
Record
41%
469-682 (1151)
NM
NM-PInvested
$123.32
Value
$212.62
PnL
+$89.3
Record
59%
3879-2660 (6539)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
140-74 (214)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe1c5db3a...4d795f
Slug
cfb-minnst-pennst-2026-11-14-total-39pt5