Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Indiana — but Minnesota won instead.
Spread: Indiana (-19.5)
Resolved Minnesota. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Indiana. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Indiana 100%
$0
$-2.3K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 heyboy800CTR | Indianaavg 55.4¢ | $2.3K | — | $-2.3K | 61% 956-599 (1555) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Indianaavg 34¢ | $34 | — | -$34 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Indianaavg 55¢ | $15.92 | — | -$15.92 | 58% 28900-21323 (50223) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Minnesotaavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Indianaavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 17200-14430 (31630) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Minnesotaavg 66¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 10816-9436 (20252) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Minnesotaavg 45¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33606-33156 (66762) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Indianaavg 53¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13944-10725 (24669) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Minnesotaavg 44.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 42202-30652 (72854) |
heyboy800CTRInvested
$2,282.96
Value
—
PnL
$-2.3K
Record
61%
956-599 (1555)
Invested
$34
Value
—
PnL
-$34
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
Invested
$15.92
Value
—
PnL
-$15.92
Record
58%
28900-21323 (50223)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
17200-14430 (31630)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
10816-9436 (20252)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33606-33156 (66762)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13944-10725 (24669)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
42202-30652 (72854)
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