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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Michigan β€” but Rutgers won instead.

Spread: Michigan (-15.5)

Resolved Rutgers. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Michigan. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Michigan 50%

Total Value

$3

Combined PnL

-$8.04

Smart Money Signal

Michigan

1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Michigan0%
Rutgers100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Michigan1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares51
Combined PnL-$11.28
Rutgers4 traders
Total Value$3
Total Shares3
Combined PnL+$3.24
Michigan β€” 20%Rutgers β€” 80%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x29cb8047...29efa2
Slug
cfb-mich-rutger-2026-10-31-spread-away-15pt5
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