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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Michigan — but Oregon won instead.
Spread: Oregon (-3.5)
Resolved Oregon. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Michigan. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Michigan 100%
Total Value
$505.72
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Michigan
6 of 6 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Oregon100%
Michigan0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb0b72ace...cf1444
Slug
cfb-mich-ore-2026-11-14-spread-home-3pt5