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RN1CTROverUnderOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Kansas vs. West Virginia: O/U 61.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 75%
Total Value
$618
Combined PnL
-$202.45
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,018
Combined PnL-$511.45
Under1 trader
Total Value$618
Total Shares618
Combined PnL+$309
Over — 80%Under — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR | Overavg 50¢ | $392.95 | — | -$392.95 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
CM cm2897 | Underavg 50¢ | $309 | $618 | +$309 | 49% 1187-1228 (2415) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | Overavg 50¢ | $100 | — | -$100 | 50% 3874-3873 (7747) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | $18.5 | — | -$18.5 | 49% 1694-1746 (3440) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $1.6K | — | +$0 | 68% 136-63 (199) |
RN1CTRInvested
$392.95
Value
—
PnL
-$392.95
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
CM
cm2897Invested
$309
Value
$618
PnL
+$309
Record
49%
1187-1228 (2415)
65
6512395314597884CTRInvested
$100
Value
—
PnL
-$100
Record
50%
3874-3873 (7747)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$18.5
Value
—
PnL
-$18.5
Record
49%
1694-1746 (3440)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$1,574
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
136-63 (199)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x71272ecf...12cb22
Slug
cfb-kan-wvir-2026-11-14-total-61pt5