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RN1ARB<$100James MadisonJames MadisonUConnUConnUConnUConn
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was UConn — and it was correct. Winning outcome: UConn
Spread: UConn (-7.5)
Resolved UConn. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held UConn. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
UConn 80%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$2.4K
Combined PnL
$170.94
Smart Money Signal
UConn
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
UConn100%
James Madison0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
James Madison1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,283
Combined PnL-$628.67
UConn4 traders
Total Value$1.6K
Total Shares1,583
Combined PnL+$799.61
James Madison — 20%UConn — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1ARB<$100 | James Madisonavg 52¢ | $821.94 | $798 | -$23.94 | 55% 5455-4439 (9894) |
| └ UConn leg | UConnavg 51¢ | $406.98 | $798 | +$391.02 | |
| └ James Madison leg | James Madisonavg 52¢ | $414.96 | — | -$414.96 | |
CM cm2897CTR | James Madisonavg 49¢ | $628.67 | — | -$628.67 | 49% 1168-1203 (2371) |
BI biying88888 | UConnavg 48¢ | $383.04 | $798 | +$414.96 | 44% 203-260 (463) |
38 38791873984189 | UConnavg 51¢ | $247.35 | $485 | +$237.65 | 48% 3273-3600 (6873) |
65 6512395314597884 | UConnavg 51¢ | $102 | $200 | +$98 | 50% 3807-3776 (7583) |
PA Pan9X | UConnavg 51¢ | $51 | $100 | +$49 | 50% 1601-1625 (3226) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$821.94
Value
$798
PnL
-$23.94
Record
55%
5455-4439 (9894)
Both legs:
UConn$406.9851¢+$391.02
James Madison$414.9652¢-$414.96
CM
cm2897CTRInvested
$628.67
Value
—
PnL
-$628.67
Record
49%
1168-1203 (2371)
BI
biying88888Invested
$383.04
Value
$798
PnL
+$414.96
Record
44%
203-260 (463)
38
38791873984189Invested
$247.35
Value
$485
PnL
+$237.65
Record
48%
3273-3600 (6873)
65
6512395314597884Invested
$102
Value
$200
PnL
+$98
Record
50%
3807-3776 (7583)
PA
Pan9XInvested
$51
Value
$100
PnL
+$49
Record
50%
1601-1625 (3226)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa143fd51...2a1878
Slug
cfb-jmad-uconn-2026-11-14-spread-home-7pt5