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UConnJames MadisonUConnJames MadisonJames MadisonJames Madison
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was James Madison — but UConn won instead.
Spread: UConn (-17.5)
Resolved UConn. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held James Madison. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
James Madison 67%
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
-$6.73
Smart Money Signal
James Madison
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
UConn100%
James Madison0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
UConn2 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,099
Combined PnL+$933.46
James Madison4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,071
Combined PnL-$940.19
UConn — 33%James Madison — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO lovefield | UConnavg 8¢ | $80 | $1.0K | +$920 | 18% 10-47 (57) |
38 38791873984189CTR | James Madisonavg 92¢ | $910.73 | — | -$910.73 | 48% 3273-3600 (6873) |
GA Gaditima<$100 | UConnavg 86.4¢ | $85.6 | $99.06 | +$13.46 | 48% 281-306 (587) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | James Madisonavg 29¢ | $11.02 | — | -$11.02 | 50% 1601-1625 (3226) |
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100 | James Madisonavg 27.7¢ | $9.17 | — | -$9.17 | 50% 3807-3776 (7583) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | James Madisonavg 92¢ | $9.27 | — | -$9.27 | 53% 1854-1648 (3502) |
LO
lovefieldInvested
$80
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$920
Record
18%
10-47 (57)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$910.73
Value
—
PnL
-$910.73
Record
48%
3273-3600 (6873)
GA
Gaditima<$100Invested
$85.6
Value
$99.06
PnL
+$13.46
Record
48%
281-306 (587)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$11.02
Value
—
PnL
-$11.02
Record
50%
1601-1625 (3226)
65
6512395314597884CTR<$100Invested
$9.17
Value
—
PnL
-$9.17
Record
50%
3807-3776 (7583)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$9.27
Value
—
PnL
-$9.27
Record
53%
1854-1648 (3502)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8a9e087a...c7dcc3
Slug
cfb-jmad-uconn-2026-11-14-spread-home-17pt5