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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Iowa State — but Arizona won instead.
Spread: Arizona (-14.5)
Resolved Arizona. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Iowa State. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Iowa State 60%
Total Value
$1.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Iowa State
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Arizona100%
Iowa State0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9b15b241...c3b216
Slug
cfb-iowast-arz-2026-10-24-spread-home-14pt5