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OverUnderOverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Illinois vs. Maryland: O/U 55.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 67%
Total Value
$57
Combined PnL
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,189
Combined PnL$-1.4K
Under3 traders
Total Value$57
Total Shares57
Combined PnL+$47.6
Over — 40%Under — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MastermoneyCTR | Overavg 46¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.4K | 47% 213-241 (454) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100 | Underavg 55¢ | $9.41 | $57 | +$47.6 | 54% 2996-2576 (5572) |
WE WeBuyHighWeSelllowCTR<$100 | Overavg 45¢ | $6.59 | — | -$6.59 | 54% 4896-4121 (9017) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | Underavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 17179-14402 (31581) |
MA
MastermoneyCTRInvested
$1,000
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
47%
213-241 (454)
0X
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100Invested
$9.41
Value
$57
PnL
+$47.6
Record
54%
2996-2576 (5572)
WE
WeBuyHighWeSelllowCTR<$100Invested
$6.59
Value
—
PnL
-$6.59
Record
54%
4896-4121 (9017)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
HO
HomeRunHazard<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
17179-14402 (31581)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x95cfb602...0d30a3
Slug
cfb-ill-mary-2026-10-31-total-55pt5