Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 65.5
Resolved Under. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Over 86%
$50
$-11.6K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ET ethanazCTR | Overavg 44Β’ | $10.8K | β | $-10.8K | 46% 386-454 (840) |
![]() RN1CTR | Overavg 44Β’ | $354.01 | β | -$354.01 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 50Β’ | $236.61 | β | -$220.61 | 47% 3383-3741 (7124) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | Overavg 47Β’ | $188 | β | -$188 | 50% 3874-3873 (7747) |
NO NotJump<$100 | Underavg 56Β’ | $28 | $50 | +$22 | 51% 917-874 (1791) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Overavg 44Β’ | $21.56 | β | -$21.56 | 48% 560-611 (1171) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 50Β’ | $18.5 | β | -$18.5 | 49% 1694-1746 (3440) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | β | +$0 | 68% 136-63 (199) |
Invested
$10,803.76
Value
β
PnL
$-10.8K
Record
46%
386-454 (840)
RN1CTRInvested
$354.01
Value
β
PnL
-$354.01
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$236.61
Value
β
PnL
-$220.61
Record
47%
3383-3741 (7124)
Invested
$188
Value
β
PnL
-$188
Record
50%
3874-3873 (7747)
Invested
$28
Value
$50
PnL
+$22
Record
51%
917-874 (1791)
Invested
$21.56
Value
β
PnL
-$21.56
Record
48%
560-611 (1171)
Invested
$18.5
Value
β
PnL
-$18.5
Record
49%
1694-1746 (3440)
Invested
$1,511
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
136-63 (199)