Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 59.5
Resolved Under. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.6K
$772.05
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Underavg 44.6¢ | $427.99 | $959.59 | +$531.6 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
JU justaluckydudeARB<$100 | Overavg 55¢ | $871.31 | $176.14 | -$695.17 | 48% 560-611 (1171) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 87.5¢ | $154.11 | $176.14 | +$22.03 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 55¢ | $717.2 | — | -$717.2 | |
38 38791873984189 | Underavg 45¢ | $105.75 | $235 | +$129.25 | 47% 3383-3741 (7124) |
65 6512395314597884 | Underavg 45¢ | $90 | $200 | +$110 | 50% 3874-3873 (7747) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Underavg 45¢ | $16.65 | $37 | +$20.35 | 49% 1694-1746 (3440) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 12.9¢ | $11.09 | — | -$11.09 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
GA GaditimaCTR<$100 | Overavg 12¢ | $8.06 | — | -$8.06 | 49% 300-314 (614) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 68% 136-63 (199) |
RN1Invested
$427.99
Value
$959.59
PnL
+$531.6
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$871.31
Value
$176.14
PnL
-$695.17
Record
48%
560-611 (1171)
Both legs:
Invested
$105.75
Value
$235
PnL
+$129.25
Record
47%
3383-3741 (7124)
Invested
$90
Value
$200
PnL
+$110
Record
50%
3874-3873 (7747)
Invested
$16.65
Value
$37
PnL
+$20.35
Record
49%
1694-1746 (3440)
Invested
$11.09
Value
—
PnL
-$11.09
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
Invested
$8.06
Value
—
PnL
-$8.06
Record
49%
300-314 (614)
Invested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
136-63 (199)