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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Texas State — but Fresno State won instead.
Spread: Texas State (-13.5)
Resolved Fresno State. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Texas State. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Texas State 38%
Total Value
$887.99
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Texas State
3 of 9 top traders (38%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Texas State0%
Fresno State100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3967abbf...5ea41e
Slug
cfb-frest-txst-2026-11-14-spread-home-13pt5