Colorado State vs. Utah State

7 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Utah State (64%) · Utah State at 96¢ · $53K held · ended Oct 31

Colorado State4¢Utah State96¢Ended Sat, Oct 31, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Utah State

Consensus Traders

Utah State 64%

Total Value

$53.4K

Combined PnL

$5.8K

Smart Money Entry

75.4¢ → 95.6¢

+27% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralUtah State at 96%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Utah State

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Colorado State4%

Utah State96%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Utah State7 traders

Total Value$53.2K

Total Shares62,811

Combined PnL+$5.8K

Colorado State4 traders

Total Value$241.29

Total Shares1,273

Combined PnL-$8.58

Utah State — 64%Colorado State — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Nooserac	Utah Stateavg 75¢	$45.0K	$50.7K	+$5.7K	52% 5778-5367 (11145)
AV averagejoetraders	Utah Stateavg 86.5¢	$996.82	$1.1K	+$86.22	56% 542-427 (969)
OX oxe78sh4w98	Utah Stateavg 86.9¢	$976.21	$1.0K	+$40.33	53% 429-386 (815)
VeryLucky888	Utah Stateavg 68¢	$305.42	$308.66	+$13.25	58% 42027-30514 (72541)
BI BillBenter2026CTR	Colorado Stateavg 20¢	$200	$205	+$5	58% 18675-13734 (32409)
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100	Utah Stateavg 70.1¢	$44.16	$44.73	+$1.52	58% 28788-21225 (50013)
0xheavy888<$100	Utah Stateavg 74¢	$28.46	$34.04	+$5.58	55% 7136-5731 (12867)
OD OddstormCTR<$100	Colorado Stateavg 26¢	$30.27	$28.94	-$2.61	39% 426-672 (1098)
PA pauleta23<$100	Utah Stateavg 88¢	$10	$9.66	-$0.34	67% 23351-11752 (35103)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Colorado Stateavg 9¢	$18	$7	-$11	49% 8081-8480 (16561)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100	Colorado Stateavg 6¢	$0.32	$0.35	+$0.03	52% 13817-12605 (26422)

Nooserac

Utah State

Invested

$44,991.33

Value

$50.7K

PnL

+$5.7K

Record

52%

5778-5367 (11145)

averagejoetraders

Utah State

Invested

$996.82

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$86.22

Record

56%

542-427 (969)

oxe78sh4w98

Utah State

Invested

$976.21

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$40.33

Record

53%

429-386 (815)

VeryLucky888

Utah State

Invested

$305.42

Value

$308.66

PnL

+$13.25

Record

58%

42027-30514 (72541)

BillBenter2026CTR

Colorado State

Invested

$200

Value

$205

PnL

+$5

Record

58%

18675-13734 (32409)

LeLynxMalynx<$100

Utah State

Invested

$44.16

Value

$44.73

PnL

+$1.52

Record

58%

28788-21225 (50013)

0xheavy888<$100

Utah State

Invested

$28.46

Value

$34.04

PnL

+$5.58

Record

55%

7136-5731 (12867)

OddstormCTR<$100

Colorado State

Invested

$30.27

Value

$28.94

PnL

-$2.61

Record

39%

426-672 (1098)

pauleta23<$100

Utah State

Invested

$10

Value

$9.66

PnL

-$0.34

Record

67%

23351-11752 (35103)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Colorado State

Invested

$18

Value

PnL

-$11

Record

49%

8081-8480 (16561)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100

Colorado State

Invested

$0.32

Value

$0.35

PnL

+$0.03

Record

52%

13817-12605 (26422)

Research grade

NeutralUtah State at 96%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Utah State

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Utah State wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance96.8%

95.6¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$3.34

Max Loss

-$100.00

103.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.