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RN1CTRCincinnatiCincinnatiCincinnatiCincinnatiIowa State
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Cincinnati — but Iowa State won instead.
Spread: Iowa State (-13.5)
Resolved Iowa State. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Cincinnati. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Cincinnati 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$854.62
Smart Money Signal
Cincinnati
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Iowa State100%
Cincinnati0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Cincinnati4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,051
Combined PnL-$854.62
Iowa State1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Cincinnati — 80%Iowa State — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR | Cincinnatiavg 42¢ | $336.42 | — | -$336.42 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Cincinnatiavg 41.8¢ | $234.86 | — | -$234.86 | 48% 3239-3552 (6791) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Cincinnatiavg 41¢ | $226.18 | — | -$226.18 | 50% 2543-2505 (5048) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Cincinnatiavg 41.7¢ | $57.17 | — | -$57.17 | 50% 1594-1620 (3214) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Iowa Stateavg 50¢ | $400 | — | +$0 | 69% 133-60 (193) |
RN1CTRInvested
$336.42
Value
—
PnL
-$336.42
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$234.86
Value
—
PnL
-$234.86
Record
48%
3239-3552 (6791)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTRInvested
$226.18
Value
—
PnL
-$226.18
Record
50%
2543-2505 (5048)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$57.17
Value
—
PnL
-$57.17
Record
50%
1594-1620 (3214)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$400
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
133-60 (193)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xea5c3b7a...8936b9
Slug
cfb-cin-iowast-2026-11-14-spread-home-13pt5