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Under
VeryLucky888CTROverUnderOverUnderUnderOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
California vs. Virginia: O/U 45.5
Resolved Under. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Under 57%
Total Value
$2.1K
Combined PnL
$441.33
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$2.1K
Total Shares2,072
Combined PnL+$1.1K
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,149
Combined PnL-$647.84
Under — 57%Over — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PR primm | Underavg 46¢ | $814.99 | $1.8K | +$956.72 | 60% 1016-678 (1694) |
VeryLucky888CTR | Overavg 54¢ | $540 | — | -$540 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
65 6512395314597884 | Underavg 56¢ | $112 | $200 | +$88 | 50% 3874-3873 (7747) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 53¢ | $189.76 | — | -$79.76 | 47% 3383-3741 (7124) |
AM AmericaFirst1<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $28.42 | $60.47 | +$32.05 | 57% 168-128 (296) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Underavg 69¢ | $27.6 | $40 | +$12.4 | 49% 1694-1746 (3440) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | $28.08 | — | -$28.08 | 47% 339-375 (714) |
PR
primmInvested
$814.99
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$956.72
Record
60%
1016-678 (1694)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$540
Value
—
PnL
-$540
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)
65
6512395314597884Invested
$112
Value
$200
PnL
+$88
Record
50%
3874-3873 (7747)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$189.76
Value
—
PnL
-$79.76
Record
47%
3383-3741 (7124)
AM
AmericaFirst1<$100Invested
$28.42
Value
$60.47
PnL
+$32.05
Record
57%
168-128 (296)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$27.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$12.4
Record
49%
1694-1746 (3440)
0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100Invested
$28.08
Value
—
PnL
-$28.08
Record
47%
339-375 (714)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa2e3caa0...50317b
Slug
cfb-cah-vir-2026-11-14-total-45pt5