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VirginiaCaliforniaVirginiaCaliforniaCalifornia
RN1<$100Virginia
VeryLucky888CTR<$100California
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Virginia — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Virginia
Spread: Virginia (-10.5)
Resolved Virginia. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Virginia. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Virginia 50%
Total Value
$973.58
Combined PnL
$103.06
Smart Money Signal
Virginia
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Virginia100%
California0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Virginia3 traders
Total Value$973.58
Total Shares974
Combined PnL+$476.43
California4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares763
Combined PnL-$373.37
Virginia — 43%California — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Virginiaavg 51¢ | $476.91 | $935.12 | +$458.21 | 56% 3718-2886 (6604) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Californiaavg 49¢ | $869.18 | — | -$353 | 47% 3383-3741 (7124) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100 | Virginiaavg 52.7¢ | $19.2 | $36.42 | +$17.22 | 53% 310-274 (584) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Californiaavg 47¢ | $14.1 | — | -$14.1 | 49% 1694-1746 (3440) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Californiaavg 50¢ | $5.94 | — | -$5.94 | 53% 1938-1717 (3655) |
RN1<$100 | Virginiaavg 51¢ | $1.04 | $2.04 | +$1 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Californiaavg 50¢ | $16.44 | — | -$0.33 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
HO
HomeRunHazardInvested
$476.91
Value
$935.12
PnL
+$458.21
Record
56%
3718-2886 (6604)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$869.18
Value
—
PnL
-$353
Record
47%
3383-3741 (7124)
0X
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100Invested
$19.2
Value
$36.42
PnL
+$17.22
Record
53%
310-274 (584)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$14.1
Value
—
PnL
-$14.1
Record
49%
1694-1746 (3440)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
—
PnL
-$5.94
Record
53%
1938-1717 (3655)
RN1<$100Invested
$1.04
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$1
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$16.44
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd7654711...52e445
Slug
cfb-cah-vir-2026-11-14-spread-home-10pt5