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California
VeryLucky888CTRCaliforniaCaliforniaNC StateNC State
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was California — but NC State won instead.
Spread: NC State (-8.5)
Resolved NC State. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held California. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
California 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$222.67
Smart Money Signal
California
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
NC State100%
California0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
California3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares193
Combined PnL-$222.67
NC State2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
California — 60%NC State — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Californiaavg 51.6¢ | $99.62 | — | -$122.78 | 58% 28788-21225 (50013) |
VeryLucky888CTR | Californiaavg 53.8¢ | $1.2K | — | -$99.9 | 58% 42027-30514 (72541) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Californiaavg 48¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | NC Stateavg 51.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 17179-14402 (31581) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | NC Stateavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33488-33047 (66535) |
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$99.62
Value
—
PnL
-$122.78
Record
58%
28788-21225 (50013)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$1,190.38
Value
—
PnL
-$99.9
Record
58%
42027-30514 (72541)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
HO
HomeRunHazard<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
17179-14402 (31581)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33488-33047 (66535)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe03dddf1...6faf67
Slug
cfb-cah-ncst-2026-10-31-spread-home-8pt5