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VeryLucky888CTRCaliforniaNC StateCaliforniaCaliforniaCaliforniaCaliforniaCalifornia
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was California — but NC State won instead.
Spread: NC State (-6.5)
Resolved NC State. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held California. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
California 75%
Total Value
$24.59
Combined PnL
-$731.43
Smart Money Signal
California
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
NC State100%
California0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
California6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,229
Combined PnL-$731.9
NC State1 trader
Total Value$24.59
Total Shares25
Combined PnL+$0.47
California — 86%NC State — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VeryLucky888CTR | Californiaavg 45.3¢ | $546.85 | — | -$546.85 | 58% 42027-30514 (72541) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | NC Stateavg 94.8¢ | $24.12 | $24.59 | +$0.47 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
SU SunflowaRebuildYearCTR | Californiaavg 29¢ | $620 | — | -$179.8 | 47% 331-377 (708) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Californiaavg 46¢ | $5.25 | — | -$5.25 | 54% 2996-2576 (5572) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Californiaavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 17179-14402 (31581) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Californiaavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13860-10628 (24488) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Californiaavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 28788-21225 (50013) |
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$546.85
Value
—
PnL
-$546.85
Record
58%
42027-30514 (72541)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$24.12
Value
$24.59
PnL
+$0.47
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
SU
SunflowaRebuildYearCTRInvested
$620
Value
—
PnL
-$179.8
Record
47%
331-377 (708)
0X
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100Invested
$5.25
Value
—
PnL
-$5.25
Record
54%
2996-2576 (5572)
HO
HomeRunHazardCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
17179-14402 (31581)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13860-10628 (24488)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
28788-21225 (50013)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xff4b6538...154309
Slug
cfb-cah-ncst-2026-10-31-spread-home-6pt5