Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Utah — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Utah
Spread: Utah (-5.5)
Resolved Utah. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Utah. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Utah 56%
1 arb excluded
$5.4K
$76.22
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | BYUavg 50¢ | $2.3K | — | $-2.2K | 54% 18479-15550 (34029) |
LI lightotunnel35 | Utahavg 50¢ | $2.4K | $4.8K | +$2.4K | 59% 103-72 (175) |
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100 | Utahavg 52.3¢ | $200.23 | $193.14 | -$7.1 | 51% 5014-4884 (9898) |
| └ BYU leg | BYUavg 41.9¢ | $99.24 | — | -$99.24 | |
| └ Utah leg | Utahavg 52.3¢ | $101 | $193.14 | +$92.14 | |
38 38791873984189CTR | BYUavg 56.1¢ | $515.02 | — | -$211.27 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
PR primm | Utahavg 58.7¢ | $146.09 | $249 | +$102.91 | 47% 1317-1506 (2823) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Utahavg 48¢ | $47.08 | $98.06 | +$50.98 | 53% 12378-10927 (23305) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | BYUavg 46.6¢ | $45.08 | — | -$45.08 | 54% 10485-8797 (19282) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | BYUavg 48¢ | $31.68 | — | -$30.36 | 51% 38228-37447 (75675) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Utahavg 46¢ | $49.26 | $58.8 | +$31.75 | 58% 47904-34520 (82424) |
 RN1<$100 | Utahavg 46¢ | $0.85 | $1.85 | +$1 | 53% 63014-55227 (118241) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | BYUavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 21689-15792 (37481) |
Invested
$2,291.35
Value
—
PnL
$-2.2K
Record
54%
18479-15550 (34029)
Invested
$2,399.01
Value
$4.8K
PnL
+$2.4K
Record
59%
103-72 (175)
Invested
$200.23
Value
$193.14
PnL
-$7.1
Record
51%
5014-4884 (9898)
Both legs:
Invested
$515.02
Value
—
PnL
-$211.27
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$146.09
Value
$249
PnL
+$102.91
Record
47%
1317-1506 (2823)
Invested
$47.08
Value
$98.06
PnL
+$50.98
Record
53%
12378-10927 (23305)
Invested
$45.08
Value
—
PnL
-$45.08
Record
54%
10485-8797 (19282)
Invested
$31.68
Value
—
PnL
-$30.36
Record
51%
38228-37447 (75675)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$49.26
Value
$58.8
PnL
+$31.75
Record
58%
47904-34520 (82424)
RN1<$100Invested
$0.85
Value
$1.85
PnL
+$1
Record
53%
63014-55227 (118241)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
21689-15792 (37481)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
CTRBYU — $0
lightotunnel35
Utah — $4.8K
6512395314597884
ARBArbitrage — excluded
38791873984189
CTRBYU — $0
primm
Utah — $249
justaluckydude
Utah — $98.06
Pan9X
CTRBYU — $0
SnakeBall
CTRBYU — $0
VeryLucky888
Utah — $58.8
RN1
Utah — $1.85