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UnderOverUnderOver
RN1CTR<$100OverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan: O/U 45.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 50%
Total Value
$25
Combined PnL
-$163.8
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$25
Total Shares25
Combined PnL+$4.2
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares400
Combined PnL-$168
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | $20.8 | $25 | +$4.2 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
SU SunflowaRebuildYearCTR | Overavg 42¢ | $400 | — | -$168 | 47% 331-377 (708) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 53¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Overavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 17179-14402 (31581) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 53¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56681-48879 (105560) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Underavg 92¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 10788-9397 (20185) |
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$20.8
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.2
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
SU
SunflowaRebuildYearCTRInvested
$400
Value
—
PnL
-$168
Record
47%
331-377 (708)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
HO
HomeRunHazardCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
17179-14402 (31581)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56681-48879 (105560)
JU
justaluckydude<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
10788-9397 (20185)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdef87b95...688ae9
Slug
cfb-bowlgr-wmich-2026-10-31-total-45pt5