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OverUnderUnderOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Boston College vs. Duke: O/U 55.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 50%
Total Value
$18.25
Combined PnL
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,481
Combined PnL$-1.1K
Under3 traders
Total Value$18.25
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$11.5
Over — 50%Under — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MD mde4life1986CTR | Overavg 45¢ | $2.5K | — | $-1.1K | 49% 153-157 (310) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 37¢ | $6.75 | $18.25 | +$11.5 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 67¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Overavg 54.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 10788-9397 (20185) |
PR primm<$100 | Underavg 55¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 1072-1263 (2335) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Overavg 43¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 7913-7939 (15852) |
MD
mde4life1986CTRInvested
$2,481.22
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
49%
153-157 (310)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$6.75
Value
$18.25
PnL
+$11.5
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
JU
justaluckydudeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
10788-9397 (20185)
PR
primm<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
1072-1263 (2335)
RL
RLWGCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
7913-7939 (15852)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xceecc2aa...b436d5
Slug
cfb-boscol-duke-2026-10-31-total-55pt5